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News Summaries

THE MINIMUM WAGE AND THE CHOICE BETWEEN WORK AND LEISURE
(05/97)

The real value of the minimum wage in 1995 dollars decreased from $5.60 in 1956 to $4.25 in 1995. The recent nominal increases in the minimum wage to $4.75 in 1996 and $5.15 in 1997 have reversed this downward trend in the real value of the minimum wage. In 1996, the real value of the $4.75 minimum wage in 1995 dollars was $4.61. When the $5.15 minimum wage becomes effective on September 1, 1997, the real value in 1995 dollars will be approximately $4.86.

Since the economy is in the sixth year of an expansion, the demand for all workers, including low-wage workers, has increased. The unemployment rate has fallen to 4.9 percent, its lowest rate since 1973. Employers have raised wages as the minimum wage has risen; low-wage workers making $5-$7 an hour have enjoyed gains in pay.

The higher wages are credited with increasing the labor force by 2.7 million people, an increase twice the size of the growth last year in the working-age population. Many of the new workers were black women, older men, immigrants, teenagers, and Hispanic Americans. This large increase in the supply of workers has kept wages from increasing even faster than they have and has helped to prevent inflation in spite of the low unemployment rate.

Despite the recent progress, low-wage earners still have a long way to go to make up for losses in real wages since the 1970s. Since that time, the real wages of low-wage workers have fallen by almost twenty percent. In the last eighteen months, real wages have regained only about 1.5% of that loss. Economists fear that this modest gain could be lost if the current expansion ends.

Questions

1. Use indifference curve analysis to show the effect of the increase in the minimum wage on the choice between work and leisure in the last 18 months.

2. Has either the substitution or income effect been dominant in the choice between work and leisure in the last 18 months?

3. Does the recent decrease in unemployment since the increase in the minimum wage refute the argument that increases in the minimum wage cause unemployment?

4. Why would a recession possibly cause the real value of wages to decrease?

Keywords: minimum wage, indifference curves, consumer choice theory, unemployment, labor force, real wages

Sources: Grossman, Jonathan. "Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938: Maximum Struggle for a Minimum Wage." http://www.dol.gov:80/dol/esa/public/minwage/history.htm

Uchitelle, Louis. "Raises Arrive at Bottom Rung of Labor Force." The New York Times. May 23, 1997, c1&c6.

 

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